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Citrini Research Calls Hyperliquid a "Compelling" Investment, Citing Buybacks That Dwarfed All Crypto Rivals in 2025

By Verse Press Crypto Desk | June 8, 2026

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Independent macro and thematic research firm Citrini Research named Hyperliquid (HYPE) a new investment idea on Monday, arguing that the decentralized derivatives exchange stands apart from most crypto projects because its token buybacks are funded by actual trading revenue rather than treasury reserves or freshly minted tokens. The call, published in Citrini's State of the Themes: June 2026 report, carries particular weight given the firm's significant Wall Street readership via its Substack platform and its documented track record: an earlier Citrini analysis of the AI sector, published in February 2026, contributed to a sharp sell-off in AI-related equities.

Citrini stated that "by some measures, Hyperliquid repurchases have accounted for nearly half of all token-buyback activity across [crypto] in 2025." Industry data from CryptoTimes supports a figure in that range: Hyperliquid's Assistance Fund, the protocol's dedicated buyback vehicle, accounted for roughly 46% of the approximately $1.4 billion in total crypto token buybacks industrywide last year. The fund has purchased over $2 billion worth of HYPE since January 2025, all of it sourced from trading fees collected on the platform.

The mechanics work as follows: 97% of every trading fee generated on Hyperliquid is automatically routed to the Assistance Fund, which then buys HYPE on the open market. A governance vote in December 2025, backed by 85% of validators, raised that allocation toward 99% for certain fee categories. At the current run rate, the annualised buyback equals roughly 7% of HYPE's market capitalisation. For comparison, Ethereum's effective token burn rate sits at approximately 1.5% and BNB's at around 1.2%.

The underlying revenue is not theoretical. According to live DefiLlama data as of June 8, Hyperliquid generated $2.49 million in fees in the past 24 hours and $75.81 million over the past 30 days. Annualised fees are running at approximately $1.06 billion; however, protocol revenue net of referral and HLP distributions runs closer to $882.6 million annualised, a distinction that matters for investors evaluating the true economic yield of the buyback mechanism. The protocol holds $6.06 billion in total value locked across its native Layer 1 chain ($4.65 billion) and an Arbitrum bridge ($1.41 billion). HYPE was quoted at $64.13 per DefiLlama as of publication, though CryptoTimes data placed the price in the $72 to $73 range at the same time; readers should verify current prices independently before drawing investment conclusions, as this spread also affects the valuation of future token unlocks. At the DefiLlama figure, market capitalisation stood at approximately $14.27 billion. The token is up roughly 160% year to date and has entered the top 10 crypto assets by market cap.

Hyperliquid launched in November 2024 via a community airdrop that distributed 310 million HYPE tokens to approximately 94,000 users, with no venture capital backing and no private investor allocations. It is purpose-built for derivatives trading, handling up to 100,000 orders per second with settlement times between 200 and 900 milliseconds. The platform grew from under 1% of the decentralized perpetual futures market in early 2023 to nearly 90% of that segment by mid-2026. Separate exchange-volume data places Hyperliquid's current share of all global decentralized perpetual futures activity at an estimated 70%, with $6.79 billion in perpetual trades processed in the past 24 hours alone. Perpetual futures are leveraged contracts that allow traders to speculate on asset prices without expiry dates. More than 30% of Hyperliquid's trading volume involves non-crypto assets such as commodities and private stocks, a term referring to tokenized or synthetic representations of equity in unlisted companies rather than direct share ownership.

Three US spot HYPE exchange-traded funds launched between May and June 2026. 21Shares listed THYP on Nasdaq on May 12 with a 0.30% expense ratio, Bitwise listed BHYP on the NYSE on May 15 at 0.34% (with in-house staking at approximately 1.2% yield), and Grayscale listed HYPG on Nasdaq on June 3 at the lowest fee of the three, 0.29%. Bitwise has also pledged 10% of BHYP management fees toward direct HYPE purchases, creating a secondary demand mechanism on top of standard inflows. BHYP recorded a $19 million single-day inflow on May 27 and absorbed roughly $55 million in HYPE within its first ten trading days, a pace that CryptoTimes and CoinDesk reported as outstripping early flows into spot Bitcoin, Ether, and Solana ETFs at comparable stages of those products' launches.

Regional Implications

For traders and developers outside the United States, Hyperliquid's structure creates both opportunity and risk. India accounts for approximately 8.2% of global perpetual futures platform traffic, and its derivatives market has historically dwarfed its equity cash market in volume. Indian users can currently access Hyperliquid without geographic restrictions, though the country's regulatory framework has not yet explicitly addressed decentralized derivatives platforms, leaving tax and compliance questions open. Pakistan presents a related case: the country carries significant informal P2P crypto volumes, and the importance of non-custodial platforms there has grown in the aftermath of regional exposure to the FTX collapse. In Nigeria, where P2P crypto trading runs at an estimated $2.4 billion per month, licensed platform Luno Nigeria announced plans in February 2026 to offer perpetuals trading, according to TechCabal. Roqqu already offers futures products in the same market, meaning Luno's entry would represent a second licensed perpetuals offering rather than an inaugural one. Across Sub-Saharan Africa more broadly, the regional context is significant: Nigeria received $92.1 billion in on-chain crypto value in the twelve months to June 2025, stablecoins comprise 43% of Sub-Saharan Africa's total crypto volume, and the region ranks as a global leader in DeFi activity by grassroots participation, with over $30 billion in value received by DeFi services. The broader infrastructure gap across all three regions remains on-ramps and off-ramps: converting local currency in and out of the platform is still a friction point that Hyperliquid has acknowledged as a future priority. Developers in Nigeria, India, and Pakistan may also find HyperEVM, the protocol's EVM-compatible execution layer, a relevant deployment surface for localised applications such as remittance protocols and microfinance vaults.

One risk investors and users should monitor closely: approximately 9.92 million HYPE tokens unlocked near June 6, with additional monthly unlocks scheduled through October 2027. The dollar value of that supply depends on the price basis used. At DefiLlama's $64.13 figure, the unlocked tokens represent approximately $637 million; at the $72 to $73 range reported by CryptoTimes, the figure rises toward $700 million. Either way, that supply pressure is a meaningful variable for any price thesis built around the buyback mechanism. Investors seeking equity-like exposure to HYPE should also be aware of Hyperliquid Strategies Inc. (NASDAQ: PURR), a publicly traded company holding approximately 20 million HYPE tokens plus $103 million in cash, which reported $152.5 million in profit for the first quarter of 2026 and functions as a proxy for HYPE within traditional brokerage accounts. The CFTC has also recently opened regulatory pathways for domestic crypto perpetual futures products, prompting Coinbase and Kraken to expand in the space. Whether that competition meaningfully erodes Hyperliquid's commanding market position will be a defining question for the protocol in the months ahead.