IMF Warns Nigeria's Stablecoin Surge Is Undermining the Naira
The Fund's 2026 Article IV report flags dollar-pegged tokens as a mainstream payment tool and a growing threat to monetary sovereignty. Nigerian authorities are pushing back.
The International Monetary Fund formally documented the rise of U.S. dollar-pegged stablecoins as everyday financial infrastructure in Nigeria in its 2026 Article IV Consultation Staff Country Report, published in mid-June 2026. The Fund warned that what was once a niche crypto use case has become mainstream, with significant consequences for the naira and for the Central Bank of Nigeria's ability to conduct monetary policy. Nigeria accounts for roughly 60% of all stablecoin inflows across Sub-Saharan Africa since 2019, according to IMF data cited by Channels Television.
Scale of Adoption
The numbers behind the IMF's concern are substantial. Between July 2023 and June 2024, Nigeria recorded approximately $59 billion in total crypto-asset inflows, according to figures cited by TechAfrica News. Stablecoins, which are digital tokens pegged to a fixed value (usually the U.S. dollar), account for roughly 43% of all crypto transaction volume across the sub-Saharan Africa region as a whole. An estimated 22 million Nigerians, about 10.3% of the population, actively use crypto assets as of 2025. Among those users, around 59% hold USDT (Tether), and up to 95% prefer stablecoins over the naira for payments and settlements, according to adoption statistics compiled by Breet.io, a Nigerian crypto exchange platform. Nigeria currently ranks second globally for crypto adoption, behind India, according to Chainalysis data compiled by Breet.io.
The economics driving that adoption are straightforward. Sending $200 from the United States to Nigeria through a traditional remittance service costs roughly $7.60 and takes several days, based on available industry estimates. The same transfer via stablecoin rails costs less than a cent and settles in minutes. In 2023, Nigeria received approximately $19.5 billion in remittances, meaning the fee savings at scale are significant.
The Dollarisation Problem
The IMF's core concern goes beyond payment efficiency. The report warns that widespread stablecoin use is accelerating what economists call "digital dollarisation," a process in which households and businesses increasingly denominate savings and transactions in a foreign currency rather than their own. When that happens at scale, a central bank loses some of its capacity to manage inflation and interest rates, because a growing share of the money supply sits outside its direct reach. The Fund also flagged risks of capital flow volatility and banking sector instability if deposits migrate toward stablecoin wallets and away from regulated banks.
The naira's recent history explains why those risks are not theoretical. The currency lost more than 70% of its value against the dollar between 2023 and 2025 following CBN-mandated foreign exchange liberalisation. For many Nigerians, holding USDT is not a speculative position; it is a straightforward hedge against inflation and currency risk. That deep embedding has structural roots: in 2021, the CBN directed banks to stop servicing crypto exchanges, a move that paradoxically accelerated adoption by pushing transactions onto peer-to-peer platforms outside the formal banking system. The ban was reversed in late 2023, and the Investments and Securities Act 2025 subsequently classified digital assets as securities, creating a partially legitimised but still evolving regulatory environment. This regulatory arc explains why stablecoin use is both deeply embedded and now formally in regulators' sights.
Nigeria's Response
Nigerian authorities have not accepted the IMF's framing without objection. The CBN separately contested the Fund's finding that certain foreign exchange commission mechanisms constitute impermissible Multiple Currency Practices (MCPs), describing those fees as standard cost-recovery measures and normal market-making practices. On the stablecoin question specifically, authorities confirmed they are developing a joint CBN-SEC regulatory framework to govern stablecoin activity and are building out blockchain analytics-based anti-money laundering systems.
That framework has been in progress since October 2025, when CBN Governor Olayemi Cardoso led the formation of a 15-member joint CBN-SEC working group tasked with assessing how stablecoins could be safely integrated into the domestic economy. A report from that group was expected in early 2026; as of publication, the status of that report has not been confirmed publicly.
The cNGN Experiment
Nigeria has also attempted to introduce a domestically controlled alternative. In February 2025, the African Stablecoin Consortium, a coalition of banks, fintechs, and blockchain firms, launched cNGN, a fully reserve-backed, naira-pegged stablecoin listed on licensed exchanges Busha and Quidax. The African Stablecoin Consortium positioned cNGN as Africa's first regulated stablecoin. The early adoption figures tell a different story: only around 4,400 units of cNGN were in circulation at launch, and on-chain transaction volumes remained thin through the launch period in early 2025, based on available data. The structural problem is clear. A naira-backed stablecoin offers no inflation hedge when the naira itself is the asset users are trying to avoid.
What Comes Next
The IMF's report explicitly called for alignment with Financial Stability Board global standards, which would likely require stablecoin issuers operating in Nigeria to hold audited reserves in regulated custody and integrate with AML reporting infrastructure, in an approach comparable to requirements under the European Union's MiCA framework. That regulatory tightening will raise compliance costs for smaller fintechs but should create more predictable rails for institutional players. Infrastructure investment is already accelerating: Flutterwave partnered with Polygon Labs in October 2025 to build stablecoin payment corridors across the continent, and corporate stablecoin transfers across Africa grew 25% in 2024.
Nigeria's regulatory decisions carry continental weight. With 60% of regional stablecoin volume flowing through the country, whatever framework is finalised by Abuja (the seat of the federal government and home of the Central Bank of Nigeria) and Lagos (Nigeria's commercial capital and the base of its Securities and Exchange Commission) will effectively set the template for Kenya, South Africa, Tanzania, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and other markets watching from the sidelines.