India Pushes BRICS CBDC Bridge as Dollar Workaround, But China Already Owns the Playbook
The Reserve Bank of India is leading a push to link digital currencies across BRICS nations before September's New Delhi summit. The proposal sidesteps the dollar for trade settlement, but existing data from a comparable platform raises hard questions about who benefits most.
India's central bank has placed a framework for connecting the central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) of all BRICS+ member nations at the center of the bloc's 2026 agenda. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) wants to link its e-Rupee with China's digital yuan, Brazil's DREX, Russia's digital ruble, and the UAE's CBDC into an interlinked settlement layer before the full BRICS Summit in New Delhi, scheduled for September 10 to 13. Foreign ministers from member states meet first on May 14 and 15 to set the agenda. The goal is to let BRICS nations pay each other directly in their own digital currencies, cutting out the US dollar as an intermediary. This article concerns the wholesale CBDC bridge, not BRICS Pay, a separate decentralised retail payments overlay with a pilot announced before the end of 2026; the two are distinct architectures and should not be conflated.
The proposal is not a new BRICS currency. The architecture relies on two existing mechanisms: netting cycles, where accumulated bilateral payments are settled at regular intervals, and central bank swap lines, which are pre-arranged liquidity agreements between participating countries. The technical blueprint comes from a live India-UAE pilot that already links the e-Rupee to the UAE's Instant Payment Platform (IPP). The target throughput for the full system is reported to be 20,000 transactions per second, a figure cited by The Defense News that has not been corroborated by additional sources. The strategic motivation is explicit: following Russia's $300 billion in overseas assets being frozen after 2022, BRICS members want payment infrastructure that cannot be cut off by Western sanctions.
"It is like a strategic tool to provide immunity against Western economic leverage," said Geeta Kochhar of the Centre for Chinese Studies at Jawaharlal Nehru University. Kochhar describes the system as an "insurance policy" for commodity trade among BRICS members, noting it would enable near real-time payments insulated from dollar volatility. Vivek Mishra of the Observer Research Foundation offered a more measured read: "This system is more about control of central banks and their ability to talk to each other." Mishra frames the initiative as targeting settlement efficiency in existing corridors, such as oil transactions between Moscow and Delhi, rather than an outright challenge to the dollar's global reserve status.
The closest working model is Project mBridge, a multi-CBDC payment platform originally built with involvement from the BIS Innovation Hub and the central banks of China, Hong Kong, Thailand, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia. By late 2025, mBridge had processed roughly $55 billion in cross-border transactions, a volume roughly 2,500 times larger than its 2022 pilot. One figure dominates that dataset: China's digital yuan accounts for 95% of all mBridge transaction volume. The BIS formally withdrew from the project in October 2024, leaving governance to the national central banks. That withdrawal coincided directly with the BRICS+ Kazan Summit, where Russian President Vladimir Putin had specifically proposed a "BRICS Bridge" alternative payment rail. The research treats these two events as causally linked: the BIS could not accommodate sanctioned members Russia and Iran within its structure, and Russia was simultaneously advocating for an alternative outside that structure. In practical terms, the BRICS proposal resembles a broader version of what mBridge already is. The yuan concentration in mBridge is a data point the RBI will need to address: genuine multilateral interoperability and digital yuan dominance are not the same thing.
India's position is further complicated by its own bilateral relationship with Washington. A trade deal finalized in February 2026 reduced US tariffs on Indian goods from 25% to 18%. Biswajit Dhar of the Council for Social Development in Delhi has cautioned that India must navigate carefully given US President Trump's concerns about dollar dominance during ongoing trade negotiations. The RBI has responded by framing the CBDC bridge in terms of settlement efficiency and financial resilience rather than de-dollarization, a distinction that gives New Delhi some diplomatic cover but does not resolve the underlying tension. That tension sits against a significant macro backdrop: the US dollar's share of global foreign exchange reserves has fallen from roughly 73% in 2001 to approximately 54 to 57% in 2025, yet the dollar still appears on one side of 89.2% of all foreign exchange trades, per the BIS 2025 Triennial Survey, while the renminbi accounts for just 8.5%. The dollar is declining in reserve terms but remains operationally dominant in trading, and any system that credibly reduces its intermediary role will attract sustained scrutiny from Washington.
Regional stakes are concrete. India's e-Rupee had roughly 8 million users and approximately $122 million in circulation as of March 2025, with cumulative transaction value exceeding $3 billion by year's end. The RBI is currently routing portions of India's $80 billion welfare system through programmable e-Rupee tokens, with a focus on agricultural subsidies and fair-price shop coupons. That domestic buildout is a live stress test of the infrastructure the BRICS bridge would depend on. For South Asian neighbors outside BRICS, including Bangladesh, Nepal, and Sri Lanka, a working India-anchored CBDC corridor could eventually reach remittance flows where dollar conversion fees impose real costs on migrant workers. In Africa, three BRICS+ members (South Africa, Ethiopia, and Egypt) are already inside the framework, and analysis from ainvest, a financial research platform, has flagged potential integration with the Pan-African Payment and Settlement System (PAPSS), a separate African Union infrastructure that handles intra-continental transactions in local currencies; this projection draws on a single non-institutional source and should be treated as speculative until corroborated by an authoritative body such as the African Union or the African Development Bank. The commodity stakes add further weight: BRICS nations collectively produce roughly 42% of global oil and approximately 40% of global grains, making an efficient payment corridor directly relevant to the trade flows both Kochhar and Mishra describe. More than 65% of intra-BRICS trade is already settled in local currencies, and Russia-China bilateral trade runs at roughly 90% local currency settlement, suggesting the proposed corridor would formalize a shift already underway.
The September summit will be the first formal test of whether the RBI can convert its proposal into a signed multilateral commitment. Between now and then, two things will matter most: how the foreign ministers' meeting in May shapes the governance structure, and whether India can sustain its public framing of the project as a technical and financial resilience initiative rather than a challenge to the dollar. Open governance questions that any working framework will eventually need to resolve include how settlement weight is allocated across member currencies and how disputes between participating central banks are handled; these are the author's analytical assessment of the variables in play, not yet reported items from the negotiating table. RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra acknowledged in April that the e-Rupee is "not a substitute for cash for now," a candid admission that the gap between domestic CBDC scale and cross-border ambition remains large. Whether the political and technical execution can close that gap before September is the harder problem.